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Oil passes $120, gas prices slip more than a cent

By JOHN WILEN,
AP
Posted: 2008-05-05 18:15:22
NEW YORK (AP) - Oil futures surged to a new record over $120 a barrel Monday, raising concerns about higher prices for gasoline and goods and services throughout the economy. Retail gas prices fell more than a cent over the weekend, but oil's advance increased the likelihood that pump prices would resume their climb.

Supply threats that emerged overseas and a weaker dollar sent light, sweet crude for June delivery to a new trading record of $120.36 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange before futures retreated slightly to settle up $3.65 at a record $119.97.

Oil's sharp rise this year has driven gas prices to unprecedented levels, prompting consumers to reconsider summer vacation plans and limit daily excursions; they're also spending less at malls and shopping centers because they're paying more not just for fuel, but for all kinds of goods and services. Americans are also being pinched by tight credit conditions, a sluggish jobs market and a downturn in the housing market.

"American consumers are being hit hard financially from a bunch of different directions," said Troy Green, a spokesman for AAA.

The average national price of a gallon of regular gas slipped to $3.611 a gallon on Monday, down 1.1 cents from Friday, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service. Prices reached a record $3.623 a gallon on Thursday.

But if oil prices continue climbing, gas prices could rise as high as $3.75 a gallon on a national basis, Green said, though, "in some places, it's already above $4 a gallon."

In most years, gas prices peak in May or early June, then mostly decline for the rest of the year. But oil at $120 - and rising - may force the experts to rewrite their rulebook.

The mix of factors that drove oil to its latest record were a microcosm of the forces that have nearly doubled oil prices from their levels of about $62 a barrel one year ago. The dollar weakened against the euro on Monday, attracting investors to commodities such as oil which they see as a hedge against inflation. Also, a falling dollar makes oil less expensive to investors overseas. A series of Federal Reserve rate cuts starting last year weakened the dollar considerably against foreign currencies; analysts blame the dollar's protracted decline for oil's sharp rise this spring.

Supply outages or threats emerged in Iraq, Nigeria and from Iran on Monday; events in all three nations have caused prices to spike many times in recent months.

In Iraq, Kurdish rebels warned they could launch suicide attacks against American interests to punish the U.S. for sharing intelligence with Turkey after Turkey bombed rebel bases in Iraq on Friday. In Nigeria, a Royal Dutch Shell PLC spokesman said attackers hit an oil facility belonging to Shell's joint venture in southern Nigeria and that some oil production has been shut down. And Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said his country will not bend to international pressure and give up its nuclear program.

Energy investors grow concerned any time conflict breaks out or is threatened in the oil-rich Middle East. Years of unrest in Nigeria have cut off nearly a quarter of the major U.S. supplier's oil output.

Beyond the occasional threats to crude supplies, global demand for oil continues to grow. While demand for oil and gasoline has been soft in the U.S., the Chinese and Indian economies are growing by double digits, boosting global demand for oil.

Diesel prices fell Monday, slipping to a national average of $4.239 from a record $4.251 on Thursday. The runup in prices of diesel, used to power most trucks, trains and ships, is one reason why food prices are so high.

Andy Lebow, senior vice president at MF Global Inc., thinks the gas price declines of the last four days are almost entirely due to crude oil's sharp drop last week; prices fell from $119.93 on Monday as low as $110.30 on Thursday before rebounding. Gas prices tend to follow prices in the futures market, but with some lag.

"If the price of oil remains this high, we could see the price of gas rise another 10 to 15 cents," Green said.

It's impossible to tell whether gas prices will fall this summer, as they have in the past, Green said. However, he noted that demand for gasoline has fallen since early this year, a sign that high prices are cutting Americans' appetite for fuel. Analysts believe falling demand is preventing refiners from raising gas prices fast enough to keep up with oil prices, which they much buy to turn into fuel. While oil prices have risen nearly 94 percent in one year, gas prices are up only 19 percent.

In other Nymex trading Monday, June gasoline futures rose 8.65 cents to settle at $3.0529 a gallon, and June heating oil futures rose 8.78 cents to settle at $3.3065 a gallon. June natural gas futures rose 40.1 cents to settle at $11.178 per 1,000 cubic feet.

In London, June Brent crude futures gained $3.43 to settle at $117.99 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

Associated Press Writers Yahya Barzanji in Iraq, George Jahn in Vienna and Gillian Wong in Singapore contributed to this report.

Copyright 2008 The Associated Press. The information contained in the AP news report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or otherwise distributed without the prior written authority of The Associated Press. Active hyperlinks have been inserted by AOL.
05/05/08 18:13 EDT
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274 comments

Greenbrico 08:25:22 PM May 06 2008

Gas fell one cent??? Holy crap! I am gonna go fill up right now! I just saved 38 cents! Man, 3 more cents and I can buy a stamp!

All you people who voted for Shrub, I must thank you! You voted for a known and proven failure. Way to go!

If you are scared of "terrorists", and think the only people who can protect you is the US government, just think of the great job they did on 9-11. All that money with failed results.

Have fun spending your STIMULUS hand out. I am sure the oil companies will be thanking you!

BTW, they found the weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. They were all ours!

Way to go USA. Liberate with terror!

Esox4569 02:08:28 AM May 06 2008

Americans. Do you really want to know why gas prices are so high? It's because your state and federal governments are making big big money. There are alot of ways the federal and state government are making money off oil and gas before and after its sale in America. In short, Oil and Gas has taxes on it before it is sold by the stores where you pump it. Then, the federal and state government turn right around and collect more tax on it after its sale. This doesn't include money the government collects for drilling permits, gas and oil employees, etc, etc, ...map it out. Our government is making big bucks on oil and gas. Solution? Complain to the goverment and dont buy gas.

MizVonDerW 02:06:35 AM May 06 2008

NRGdrumr 01:40:21 AM May 06 2008

Report This! Fols, It is seriously time for the Electric car technology to come back and stay for good. Then we can tell BIG OIL to shove it where the moon don't shine.
...................................................................................................................................
Slight problem with an electric car. The Lieberman/Warner Bill is due to start making its' way through the US Senate in June. It is a cap-and-trade, which, if it passes will cause electricity prices to basically skyrocket.

APOCALYPTO239 01:52:18 AM May 06 2008

One of the biggest problems facing the IEA, the EIA and a host of analysts and "experts" who claim that "high prices cut demand" either directly or by dampening economic growth is that this does not happen in the real world. Since early 1999, oil prices have risen about 350%. Oil demand growth in 2004 at nearly 4% was the highest in 25 years. These are simple facts that clearly conflict with received notions about "price elasticity". World oil demand, tends to be bolstered by "high" oil and gas prices until and unless "extreme" prices are attained.
If millions of people got the picture that Peak Oil is imminent, they would surely begin to take steps to protect themselves and their families—to powerdown—and decline would be slowed as a result of all those peoples’ aggregate actions. It would be a classic market response to new information.
Big Oil cannot allow this to happen if it intends to keep its profits sky-high. If people believe that oil is abundant forever; that they are

APOCALYPTO239 01:47:43 AM May 06 2008

As mentioned previously, this is exactly what happened during the oil shocks of the 1970s - shortfalls in supply as little as 5% drove the price of oil up near 400%. Demand did not fall until the world was mired in the most severe economic slowdown since the Great Depression. The only thing that alleviated the economic crisis was the discovery of the world's last few "elephant" sized oil fields in the North Sea and Alaska as well as increased production from nations like Venezuela and Saudi Arabia. Once global oil production peaks (if it hasn't already) turning to new sources of supply won't be an option.
As mentioned previously, this is exactly what happened during the oil shocks of the 1970s - shortfalls in supply as little as 5% drove the price of oil up near 400%. Demand did not fall until the world was mired in the most severe economic slowdown since the Great Depression. The only thing that alleviated the economic crisis was the discovery of the world's last few "elephant" sized

APOCALYPTO239 01:46:18 AM May 06 2008

Generally, when a commodity becomes scarce the price goes up. This causes people to use less of the commodity and begin look for alternatives for it. Unfortunately, energy is not just any commodity. As it is the very basis for all economic activity, including the generation of alternative sources of energy, it is nowhere near as "elastic" as most commodities. Economist Andrew McKillop explains:
One of the biggest problems facing the IEA, the EIA and a host of analysts and "experts" who claim that "high prices cut demand" either directly or by dampening economic growth is that this does not happen in the real world. Since early 1999, oil prices have risen about 350%. Oil demand growth in 2004 at nearly 4% was the highest in 25 years. These are simple facts that clearly conflict with received notions about "price elasticity". World oil demand, tends to be bolstered by "high" oil and gas prices until and unless "extreme" prices are attained.

APOCALYPTO239 01:44:45 AM May 06 2008

barrels per day while the world is projected to need 120 million barrels per day

APOCALYPTO239 01:43:08 AM May 06 2008

"If the environmentalists get out of the way, can't we just drill in ANWR?"
While some folks desperately cling to the belief that oil is a renewable resource, others hold on to the equally delusional idea that tapping the Arctic National Wildlife Reserve will solve, or at least delay, this crisis. While drilling for oil in ANWR will certainly make a lot of money for the companies doing the drilling, it won't do much to help the overall situation for three reasons:
Reason #1. According of the Department of Energy, drilling in ANWR will only lower oil prices by less than fifty cents;
Reason #2. ANWR contains 10 billion barrels of oil - or about the amount the US consumes in a little more than a year.
Reason #3. As with all oil projects, ANWR will take about 10 years to come online. Once it does, its production will peak at 875,000 barrels per day - but not till the year 2025. By then the US is projected to need a whopping 35 million barrels per day while the world is projected to need 1

NRGdrumr 01:40:21 AM May 06 2008

Fols, It is seriously time for the Electric car technology to come back and stay for good. Then we can tell BIG OIL to shove it where the moon don't shine.

NRGdrumr 01:37:35 AM May 06 2008

forget Bakken oil shale, Gull Island in alaska has enough oil to las us another 200-400 years.

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