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Market Update

Oil rises above $76 amid dollar's decline

11/25/09 07:11 EST

-Oil prices rose above $76 a barrel Wednesday as the dollar weakened and investors awaited data on the U.S. economy and crude inventories.

By early afternoon in Europe, benchmark crude for January delivery was up 39 cents to $76.41 in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $1.54 to settle at $76.02 on Tuesday.

Crude has fallen about 7 percent since reaching its high this year of $82 a barrel last month amid evidence that economic recovery in the U.S. will be tepid.

Earlier Wednesday in Asia, the price fell as low as $75.78 on the eve of Thanksgiving holiday in the United States.

"Today could be a volatile trading day due to the long weekend, the end of the month and the end of the financial year for some traders," Petromatrix Research said in a report, adding that "the momentum is gently starting to become negative."

Crude is testing the bottom of a monthlong trading range of between $76 a barrel and $82, and some energy analysts, such as Ritterbusch and Associates in Galena, Illinois, say prices could fall to $70 a barrel during the next month.

Other analysts, however, expect prices to rebound as investors seek an inflation hedge amid a weakening U.S. dollar. Bank of America Merrill Lynch forecast an average price of $85 a barrel next year.

"Loose monetary policy and a weaker dollar should put upward pressure on crude oil prices next year," the bank said in a report.

The Energy Information Administration was to announce its inventory report later Wednesday. Analysts expected it to show a jump in crude stocks. U.S. crude demand appears to be stagnant as oil supplies keep growing.

U.S. data on jobs, consumer spending and new home sales which could provide a clearer picture of the economic recovery also were due later Wednesday.

The U.S. Commerce Department on Tuesday revised down third-quarter gross domestic product growth to 2.8 percent from 3.5 percent, a disappointing result since economies emerging from recessions often see larger expansions.

The euro bought $1.5041 in morning European trading, up from $1.4975 late in New York on Tuesday. The British pound rose to $1.6692 from $1.6593 late in New York, while the dollar dropped to purchase 87.72 Japanese yen from 88.56 the night before.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil was up 0.97 cent to $1.96 a gallon. Gasoline for December delivery was 0.5 cent higher at $1.94 a gallon.

In London, Brent crude for January delivery rose 56 cents to $77.02 on the ICE Futures exchange.

Associated Press writer Alex Kennedy in Singapore contributed to this report.

Copyright 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
COMMENTS ( 66 )
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JDMNVA
2:19PM Nov 19 2009 
"Bottom line, the race is on; between falling demand and falling production," analyst Stephen Schork said. "Regardless of the outcome, one result is almost guaranteed ... the consumer will lose. And, given that consumer spending is responsible for more than two-thirds of the U.S. economy, that does not bode well for the strength of the incipient recovery."

Schork, you finally! finally!!! Said something intelligent. It felt good didnt it? Now all i would like to know is, who put the words in your mouth? It surely wasnt your usual Exxon/Mobil rhetoric.
REPLY RATING
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JDMNVA
2:17PM Nov 19 2009 
"The resistance to oil sustaining above the $80 level is very strong. There are signs of economic recovery but so far, the signals have been mixed and the sustainability of the recovery is uncertain," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with consultancy Purvin & Gertz in Singapore.

The signals have been mixed Dictor? Well which signals are you looking at Dictor? Unemployment ****** highest level since 1983? Leading economic indicators showing a slower than expected recovery? Or mortgage defaults increasing each of the last 9 months? I dont call that mixed signals Dictor. I would call that consistent news. Consistent BAD NEWS DICTOR. But then again, I am not making my money in the oil speculation business as idiots like you that quote this garbage are.

Whoa Dictor.....more "Mixed" signals.
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(1 RATINGS)
 
JDMNVA
10:42AM Nov 19 2009 
"The resistance to oil sustaining above the $80 level is very strong. There are signs of economic recovery but so far, the signals have been mixed and the sustainability of the recovery is uncertain," said Victor Shum, an energy analyst with consultancy Purvin & Gertz in Singapore.

The signals have been mixed Dictor? Well which signals are you looking at Dictor? Unemployment ****** highest level since 1983? Leading economic indicators showing a slower than expected recovery? Or mortgage defaults increasing each of the last 9 months? I dont call that mixed signals Dictor. I would call that consistent news. Consistent BAD NEWS DICTOR. But then again, I am not making my money in the oil speculation business as idiots like you that quote this garbage are.
REPLY RATING
(1 RATINGS)
 
JDMNVA
12:05PM Nov 18 2009 
Meanwhile, the Energy Information Administration reported that the country's stockpile of crude oil fell by 900,000 barrels last week.
That’s interesting since an hour ago the API said it dropped by 2.2 million barrels. Gee, I wonder who API is?

• The American Petroleum Institute, commonly referred to as API, is the main U.S trade association for the oil and natural gas industry, representing about 400 corporations involved ...

Oh, I get it! That’s who API is. From now on, totally disregard everything the API says, unless you work for Exxon/Mobil. How crooked is this since any speculation drives oil up. How can stuff like this be legal?
REPLY RATING
(3 RATINGS)
 
Lvlstnhlofgunfre
9:28PM Oct 19 2009 
Everything is still gonna be crappy for about another year or so. Un-employment is still up.... Figured we'd all be seeing comercials for the 2010 electric hybrids.That no-one will be able to afford.
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(5 RATINGS)
 
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