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Currencies Updates

Dollar choppy after unemployment tops 10 percent

11/06/09 16:47 EST

NEW YORK -The safe-haven dollar got an immediate boost Friday after the government said the U.S. unemployment rate rose above 10 percent, but then gave back its gains in choppy trading as investors figured that a weak economy meant the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates at their current near-zero range for a long time.

Higher interest rates can support a currency as investors transfer funds in search of better returns. On Thursday, the ECB and BoE maintained their rates at 1 percent and 0.5 percent, respectively, higher than the U.S. federal funds rate.

The Federal Reserve said Wednesday it will keep the key interest rate at a record low level of nearly zero for an "extended period" to support the economy amid rising unemployment and hard-to-get loans.

On Friday, the U.S. government said the jobless rate rose to 10.2 percent last month from 9.8 percent in September. That's the highest level of unemployment since April 1983.

The 16-nation euro had weakened to $1.4811 in the 20 minutes after the government's announcement, but then moved higher. In late trading, the euro dipped to $1.4835 from $1.4868 late Thursday, while the British pound rose to $1.6602 from $1.6586. The dollar slipped to 89.93 Japanese yen from 90.78 yen.

"Equities managed to shrug off" the jobs data, said Deutsche Bank's Adam Boyton. Investors generally look at jobs as a "lagging indicator," or one of the last areas to recover in a recession. So they weren't particularly worried about the unemployment rate, he said, especially given that last week the government said the country grew 3.5 percent in the third quarter.

Rising unemployment also signaled that the Fed could keep interest rates at their current range between zero and 0.25 percent for an "extended period" that may last into late next year.

The upward move in stocks then tugged the dollar lower. After the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the dollar's value had surged as spooked investors sought safety in the greenback and the Treasurys it can buy.

Since spring, as equity markets recovered and investors renewed their search for riskier, high-yielding trades, the dollar has given back all of those gains.

On Friday, stocks were wobbly. The price of the dollar against the euro was tightly tracking equities, which posted a modest advance in light trading.

In other New York trading, the dollar rose to 1.0768 Canadian dollars from 1.0648 late Thursday, and inched up to 1.0179 Swiss francs from 1.0165 francs.

Copyright 2009 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
COMMENTS ( 30 )
Page 1 of 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 Next >>
HrrPa9
11:47AM Oct 29 2009 
HBaldo there in lies the question. We continue this assinine attempt to control the intractable with the elected/appointed best and brightest. It never works and never will. So much of U.S. profits remain overseas that such transfers as happens tend to be of quantitative amounts that currency valuations become rocky at best. Small timers can only act as trailers. We find at closer examination most politicians are already quite wealthy. Their pursuits remain vain attempts at self agrandisement. The moral and ethical reasons our founder's had has been replaced by such vanity that effective representation and governing by rational decision making has been reduced to a snickering event.
REPLY RATING
(1 RATINGS)
 
HBaldo
4:21PM Oct 22 2009 
Yes, what to do! The Fed attempted market operations in the 80's but it became evident that the market was so big that it was soon realized that intervention to control the exchange rate of such a massive economy was impossible. What is driving the Euro/$ rate are market forces and many other conditions such as capital flight to and from the US. There are probably people out there who may have an understanding of the relative importance of the significant variables at different times and are benefiting from the decline of the Dollar. However, their knowledge is price sensitive information they are not going to share with world. Unfortunately those individuals will not work for the Fed or the Treasury for many good reasons, compensation probably being one of them. A really knowledgeable trader will receive compensation no government official could ever receive. It appears that even the government actions to regulate foreign exchange related derivatives used for hedging purposes will make it even more difficult for corporations to shield themselves from foreign adverse exchange fluctuations.

Thus, media talk about the government’s failure to step in and force a desired Euro/$ rate is really no more than an expression of faith on the omnipotent power of the government. Given the serious dislocations of the world economy from the Fed keeping domestic rates too low for too long and contributing to the real estate bubble is an indication that all of the government’s economists together simply cannot match the performance of many private sector business analysts. What amazes me to no end is that the journalists completely ignore the Fed/Treasury’s statements in the 80’s that the foreign exchange market for US Dollars is so large as to be beyond control by the government authorities.
REPLY RATING
(2 RATINGS)
 
HBaldo
4:21PM Oct 22 2009 
Yes, what to do! The Fed attempted market operations in the 80's but it became evident that the market was so big that it was soon realized that intervention to control the exchange rate of such a massive economy was impossible. What is driving the Euro/$ rate are market forces and many other conditions such as capital flight to and from the US. There are probably people out there who may have an understanding of the relative importance of the significant variables at different times and are benefiting from the decline of the Dollar. However, their knowledge is price sensitive information they are not going to share with world. Unfortunately those individuals will not work for the Fed or the Treasury for many good reasons, compensation probably being one of them. A really knowledgeable trader will receive compensation no government official could ever receive. It appears that even the government actions to regulate foreign exchange related derivatives used for hedging purposes will make it even more difficult for corporations to shield themselves from foreign adverse exchange fluctuations.

Thus, media talk about the government’s failure to step in and force a desired Euro/$ rate is really no more than an expression of faith on the omnipotent power of the government. Given the serious dislocations of the world economy from the Fed keeping domestic rates too low for too long and contributing to the real estate bubble is an indication that all of the government’s economists together simply cannot match the performance of many private sector business analysts. What amazes me to no end is that the journalists completely ignore the Fed/Treasury’s statements in the 80’s that the foreign exchange market for US Dollars is so large as to be beyond control by the government authorities.
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(0 RATINGS)
 
LGBAILEY
7:58PM Oct 21 2009 
for any foreign exchange conversion try xe.com. It is the best....
REPLY RATING
(0 RATINGS)
 
Tomkwilmak
5:01PM Oct 21 2009 
Just found out Yahoo Finance has a conversion chart
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(0 RATINGS)
 
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